A recent survey of likely voters in the city of Los Angeles—conducted by Sextant Strategies and Research—found Congresswoman Karen Bass to have decided advantages over the field of contenders in the 2022 mayoral primary. Further, it found that Bass started the race in a stronger position than the other candidate, and that she was the best known and best liked candidate in the field.
Results showed a massive 20-point gap between her and the next candidates, with the Congresswoman initially receiving 20% of the vote as demonstrated in the figure below.
The survey was held in two parts, before and after hearing profiles of the candidates. Given more information about Bass, her lead only continued to grow resulting in a 22 point margin and more votes from those who had been undecided.
Other key findings include the following:
- That Bass secured 34% of the vote after the profiles is significant because the first-place finishers in the open 2005 (Villaraigosa) and 2013 (Garcetti) primaries each received 33% of the vote.
- Bass wins a massive 45% of votes from White Democrats after the profiles – a lead of 33 points over the next highest candidate (De Léon). Initially, she receives 35% of the White Democratic vote – a 29-point advantage over the field.
- Among Latinos, Bass leads De Léon by a 2-to-1 margin (28% to 14%) after the profiles. They are statistically tied on the initial vote (Bass leading 16%-14%).
- Bass also led among self-described progressives, liberals and moderates on both votes.
- Fewer than one- in-three voters believe the City is headed in the right direction (32%) or approve of the City Council’s job performance (31%).